I’ll get to the good stuff in a moment, but first I just wanted to say hello and welcome to all the new folks who have started to migrate this way in the wake of the announcement that the Seahawks Insider, along with the rest of the Tacoma News-Tribune, will be disappearing behind a pay wall. If any of you have an interest in doing some writing yourselves (or if you just have a question or response you don’t want to post for all to see) feel free to contact me directly at
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. I read every email that gets sent my way, and I do my best to respond to queries within a day or two.
As for the comments, I try to stay as hands-off as possible with the moderation, so I won’t step in and delete stuff unless someone is getting abusive or overly disruptive. I don’t mind off-topic discussions either; the way I see it, conversations are going to go in whatever direction they want to go, and that’s fine with me. Really, all I ask is that the obscenities are kept to a minimum outside of the R-rated threads I put up after every game.
* * *
Man, what a difference a few wins makes. Early in the season, many of us were fretting that the Seahawks’ problems on offense were going to negate the efforts of what was shaping up to be a truly elite defense. A few weeks after that, the cause of worry was that the team’s ascending offense was going to waste because the defense was incapable of holding on to a fourth quarter lead.
The win over the Cardinals doesn’t really prove that the defense is fixed by any means. Arizona’s offense is about as dysfunctional as it gets, and just the week before the Hawks’ defense couldn’t stop the Bears from moving into field goal range to send the game into overtime. Still, the 58-0 blowout seems to have settled everyone down just enough to shift the topic of conversation over to the playoff hunt.
At this point, the Seahawks are in control of the five seed, and the other teams in the hunt for an NFC wild card berth are pretty weak competition. The Bears (8-5) currently hold the six seed, but they’ve lost four of their last five games and could miss the playoffs altogether. The Redskins (7-6) may have to make their final push without their star rookie quarterback as Robert Griffin III is nursing a sprained knee. The Cowboys (7-6) and Vikings (7-6) are both dealing with near-crippling problems on defense and offense, respectively. In fact, the above four teams have so many issues that the Rams (6-6-1) could end up stealing the final wild card slot out from underneath all of them.
What’s more, if the Seahawks run the table through the last three games, they could end up with more than just a wild card berth. If the 49ers lose to the Patriots this Sunday, the Hawks would win the division – and with it home field advantage for at least the wild card round – by beating Harbaugh’s team in week sixteen. And if the Packers and Giants each lose one of their remaining games, then the Seahawks would leapfrog both of them in the standings (Seattle owns the head-to-head tiebreaker over Green Bay) and end up with the number two seed and a first round bye.
But for that to happen, Seattle needs to take care of business in Toronto this week, and they’ll be doing it without two players that were expected to see significant playing time. CB Walter Thurmond has been playing lights-out fantastic since his return a few weeks back, but he’s been ruled out this week with a hamstring injury. In his place, CBs Jeremy Lane and Byron Maxwell will share time at both the starting right corner and nickel back positions. Neither is as good as Thurmond, but they both played well last week when they were given a chance to step in for a significant number of defensive snaps.
The other player is WR Charly Martin, who was placed on injured reserve today with a calf injury. Had Sidney Rice not been able to play against the Bills after injuring his foot in the Cardinals game, Martin would have been the choice to start at flanker in his stead. Luckily, Rice was upgraded to probable when he returned to practice today after sitting out on Wednesday and Thursday, so the loss of Martin doesn’t hurt the team as much as it could have. Still, the move leaves the Seahawks with just four wide receivers on the active roster: Rice, Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin, and Jermaine Kearse.
The team hasn’t made an official announcement, but it sounds like they might be bringing back Deon Butler to take Martin’s place on the roster. I would have expected them to just activate another receiver off the practice squad (Phil Bates and Lavasier Tuinei would both be interesting choices), but Butler knows the offense and should be able to step in right away and provide a limited number of snaps. However, Butler doesn’t appear to have traveled with the Seahawks to Toronto, so who knows. Also, S Winston Guy is scheduled to return from his four game suspension next week, so a roster spot will need to be opened up for him unless the team plans on putting him on waivers.
Anyway, on to the stats.
(Note, for explanations of some of the stats included in this piece, please see the first article in the series.)
Rushing Averages
|
Game |
Yards/Rushing Attempt |
Yards/Game |
|
Yards/Rushing Attempt Allowed
|
Yards/Game Allowed
|
|
1 (ARI)
|
3.48 |
115 |
|
2.15 |
43 |
|
2 (DAL) |
4.44 |
182 |
|
3.06 |
49 |
|
3 (GB) |
4.38 |
127 |
|
4.00 |
84 |
|
4 (STL) |
5.26 |
179 |
|
2.78 |
75 |
|
5 (CAR) |
2.80 |
98 |
|
4.32 |
82 |
|
6 (NE) |
3.27 |
85 |
|
3.35 |
87 |
|
7 (SF) |
4.69 |
136 |
|
5.47 |
175 |
|
8 (DET) |
7.00 |
133 |
|
3.82 |
84 |
|
9 (MIN) |
4.33 |
195 |
|
9.00 |
243 |
|
10 (NYJ) |
4.05 |
174 |
|
3.82 |
84 |
|
11 (MIA) |
3.56 |
96 |
|
6.75 |
189 |
|
12 (CHI) |
5.50 |
176 |
|
4.13 |
132 |
|
13 (ARI) |
6.76 |
284 |
|
2.69 |
43 |
|
Total |
4.55 (6th)
|
152.31 (4th) |
|
4.45 (21st) |
105.38 (11th) |
The rushing stats for the offense just keep getting better every week, in no small part because the added threat of the run option forces the defense to split their attention between Russell Wilson and his running back on every handoff. Also, the mere threat of the option run has an effect on opponents similar to the 46 defense Buddy Ryan ran with the Bears back in the ‘80s – sometimes Ryan only used it for a couple of snaps a game, but offenses had to devote some of their practice time each week to figuring out how to beat it. Likewise, any time opposing defenses spend practicing to stop the Seahawks’ option game is time taken away from practicing to stop everything else the Seahawks’ offense does.
Granted, neither of the last two teams are known for their ability to stop the run (Chicago’s run defense is ranked 25th and Arizona’s is 18th), but it’ll be interesting to see how well the Bills hold up against their former teammate Marshawn Lynch. Buffalo was awful at stopping the run earlier in the year (the 49ers racked up 311 yards on the ground against them back in week five), but they’ve now held their last four opponents to under 100 rushing yards.
The Seahawks’ run defense managed to hold the Cardinals to below three yards per carry, but as I said earlier stopping Arizona’s offense isn’t much of an accomplishment these days. As you can see, they’re now ranked 21st in the league against the run, which is a far cry from the top five ranking they enjoyed through the first few weeks of the season. I think the Seahawks are going to win this one, but after watching them give up 6.75 yds/att against the Dolphins, I have to admit to being a little worried about how well they’re going to fare against C.J. Spiller, who currently leads all running backs with 6.6 yds/att.
(To continue reading, please click on "Read More" below.)